Forecasts by Edward Mushinsky come true

Forecasts and recommendations Edward Mushinsky, a leading expert in innovative marketing, on the theme "How to increase the audience of the site for a month, and profits doubled, "
- Implement in Branchout
and Hulu Plus
http://vsocial.livejournal.com/117997.html

He wrote about this forecast of 4 years ago in his blog

http://coolgoogle.blogspot.com/2007/09/blog-post_28.html

и http://rublicon.ru/columns/vsocial/385.html

Psychological factors in economy

Economic booms are often characterized by waves of optimism and the view that the economy is entering a new era in which the business cycle has been tamed. The idea that “this time, things are different” became pervasive during the expansion of the mid-2000s, just before the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. New financial products were thought to have protected market participants by spreading risk widely, thereby justifying the surge in mortgage lending and the phenomenal run-up in house prices. Similarly, the emergence of new information technologies fueled a wave of euphoria that drove the stock market boom of the late 1990s and the longest economic expansion in U.S. history. A similar sense of confidence developed during the Roaring Twenties, spurred by new technologies such as autos and radio, financial innovations, and improved business practices. The Japanese boom of the 1980s with its ballooning property prices also shared some of these characteristics. Each of these episodes ended with a stock market crash when overly optimistic expectations were dashed.

The proposition that confidence can influence the business cycle raises the question of how expectations are translated into actions that affect economic activity. One way that confidence can cause business cycle fluctuations is when people’s actions are influenced by what they think other people might do. For example, if customers start to fear that a bank may not be able to honor deposits, they may rush to withdraw their money before other customers do, triggering a run. The bank may fail and some people may lose their deposits. If this is repeated widely, a general loss of confidence in the financial sector can occur. Since fear is not always a rational process, even a solvent bank could suffer a run that mushrooms into a broad financial panic. Such a crisis of confidence could squeeze liquidity throughout the banking system, causing a contraction in credit that harms broad economic activity.

http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2010/el2010-35.html


So, there is new cicle of economic growt started.

If you want built an great business see http://futurerating.blogspot.com/2011/02/how-to-made-greatest-startup.html

Повторение тунисской революции: Египет и Албания

После свержения президента Бен Али в Тунисе все ждали, что революционная зараза на этом не остановится и пойдет дальше гулять по исламскому миру, круша аналогичные режимы в Алжире, Египте, Иордании. Но реальность, как обычно, оказалась более сложной и непредсказуемой. Главным претендентом на повторение тунисского сценария стала страна хоть и мусульманская, но не совсем восточная – Албания.
Последние кадры из албанской столицы Тираны мало чем отличаются от тунисских, разве что погода прохладнее. В полумиллионном городе на улицы вышли десятки тысяч человек, жгут машины, бьют витрины, кидаются камнями, полиция отстреливается боевыми пулями, трое демонстрантов убиты, более 150 – ранено, а иностранные посольства закрываются, опасаясь новых протестов.
http://slon.ru/blogs/samorukov/post/524520/

Египет.
Как сообщает телеканал PressTV, вечером 25 января 46-летний Г.Мубарак с женой, дочерью и большим количеством багажа вылетел на самолете в Лондон.

В то же время официального подтверждения того, что Мубарак-младший бежал в Великобританию, пока нет, как, впрочем, и информации о точном местонахождении руководителей правящей Национально-демократической партии.

Напомним, что в Египте проходят многотысячные акции протеста. Десятки тысяч демонстрантов вышли на улицы городов с требованием отставки президента Хосни Мубарака и правительства страны. Для разгона митинга полиция применила слезоточивый газ и огнестрельное оружие, в результате чего погибли три человека.

По мнению экспертов, на протесты против правительства египтян вдохновили аналогичные события в Тунисе, где президент страны вынужден был спасаться бегством.

Читать полностью: http://top.rbc.ru/society/26/01/2011/533837.shtml

Forecast: how the economy responds to increased terrorist activity

The response to terrorism is a universal surveillance via the mobile internet and social networking.

Here closes the main trend of world economy - the rapid growth of ICT-sector
and the interest of governments to prevent terrorist attacks.

http://vsocial.livejournal.com/116409.html

Ответом на взрыв в Домодедово и в целом на террористическую угрозу будут тотальный
мониторинг мобильной связи, интернета и соц.сетей.

Тут смыкается главный тренд мировой экономики - опережающий рост ICT-сектора,
и интерес правительств предотвращать теракты.

Минэкономики Россия признало расточительность

Поразительные цитаты из официальной Стратегии развития России http://www.economy.gov.ru/minec/activity/sections/innovations/doc20101231_016

За годы с 2003 по 2008 экспорт высокотехнологической продукции из России упал почти вдвое (с 0,45% до 0,25% от мирового экспорта) ...

"Низкими остаются и удельные показатели научной результативности. Так, в Сингапуре на одну статью в международно признанных изданиях приходится 3,6 активных исследователя, в Германии и Франции - 3,5 исследователей, в Аргентине - 5,8, в Японии – 9,2. В России этот показатель составляет 16,4 (в Китае, для сравнения, 13,2)."

"При этом «стоимость» одной российской публикации (соотношение внутренних затрат на исследования и разработки и общего числа научных публикаций) росло в 2000х гг. опережающими темпами и составляла уже в 2008 г. 848 тыс. долл. США по сравнению, например, с 221 тыс. долл. США в Польше

http://hodorkovski.blogspot.com/2011/01/russia-is-science-outsider.html

Профессия будущего - eduprener - Entrepreneur of education

Еduprener - Entrepreneur of education - can create a maximum of one hour at least a separate course, although a online university and earn a teaching there. Deal with only a couple of mouse clicks. Uploading lessons, do some of them free, some - chargeable, announces webinars. Can conduct individual lessons, you can create a class at least 100 people. This is your university.
"Education of the Future - Education Without Walls, curriculum and scheduling," - says the founder of "Metaver" Dmitry Peskov said. He is a propagandist of the concept of tutors in education and I am confident that with the increase in the rate of consumption of knowledge, we need a consultant, and the focus of the educational process will shift to the mechanisms to choose the educational product. No less significant figure than the teacher, will be the one who will tell you where to find it and what course to join.

"Why today is full of companies offering help in choosing a mortgage, but not those who built to your individual educational track?" - Asks Ilya Savchuk, co-founder of "Soling". British startup Schoolofeverything engaged in settling pupils and teachers. Main idea - to search for the principle of proximity. In fact, pretty stupid to go to dance lessons in a nearby town. It is desirable that the teacher lived close and had good recommendations.

"Any added value created by the Internet refers to the distribution and personalization," - said Jose Ferreira, CEO and founder of the service Knewton

http://hodorkovski.blogspot.com/2011/01/education-of-future-education-throught.html

Startups platforms are fastest growing niche!

Google Ventures backs LawPivot, a legal Q&A service for startups!

Q&A seems to be a hot area for startups right now, especially with the growing popularity of Q&A startup Quora. LawPivot isn’t shy about riding on Quora’s coattails, calling itself “Quora for legal”, but the LawPivot model is actually pretty different. Where Quora’s Q&A pages are open to the public, all your correspondence on LawPivot is private and confidential.

It’s pretty clear why a startup might want to use the site, but why are lawyers giving free advice? Vice president of business development and co-founder Nitin Gupta said it’s because they’re finding that the traditional ways for lawyers to network, such as speaking at conferences, are becoming less effective. Lawyers use LawPivot as a way to connect with potential clients, he said.

And that’s also where the startup might make money in the future. Like I said, the site is free for now, but Gupta said it might eventually charge both startups and lawyers. The startups might pay per month or per question, while lawyers might either pay to get into the service or for premium features.